DealFlowAgent dealflowagent.com · joe@dealflowagent.com
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Specialist sell-side M&A advisory · Building services, facilities management & healthcare
London, UK · Delaware, USA · Serving business owners globally · FS-01 · Fire & Life Safety

DealFlowAgentSpecialist sell-side M&A

Exit Readiness & Valuation Scorecard

Fire & Life Safety Fire & life safety · fire alarms, detection, suppression, extinguishers, passive fire and risk assessment · UK · 2026/27 edition
FS-0130 factors · 6 dimensionsSelf-assessedValid for 90 days

Dear business owner, or the adviser acting on their behalf

Thank you for using this scorecard. It is a preliminary exercise and it is deliberately free of anything sensitive: no revenue, no profit, no company name, no form, and nothing that leaves your desk. Twenty minutes with a pen gives you an honest read on how ready your business is to be bought, and on which of thirty measurable things are holding its value down today.

Treat it as a snapshot, not a verdict. Every factor on this sheet moves over time and several of them move quickly: a contract renewal, a certification lapse, an operations manager leaving, a change to the statutory calendar. A score taken today is the starting point for a conversation, not a fixed measure of what your business is worth, and it is not advice on your specific circumstances.

What it is not is a valuation. The full picture is our valuation and business optimisation review: a detailed document built against your actual financials, contracts and operating data, with a personalised plan behind it. It is not a report we hand over and walk away from. Our in-house engineers and specialist partners work alongside your team to implement it, from reducing key-person dependency and finding the right operations leader through to the systems, hiring and technology that make the improvements hold. The objective is to move the metrics that decide your price, meaningfully, in the time you have before you sell. What that stage involves, and what it does not commit you to, is set out overleaf.

If you are an accountant, wealth manager, corporate financier or adviser acting for an owner, this sheet is built to be shared, and we are glad to run the detailed review alongside you.

Joe Lewin · Founder, DealFlowAgent

The DealFlowAgent stand at The Fire Safety Event, Birmingham NEC
Our stand at The Fire Safety Event, Birmingham NEC.
We also exhibited at Interschutz in Hannover.

We work in your world

We are a specialist, not a generalist, and we advise owners across 15 specialisms in this family alone. Venture-backed, with a registered network of 12,900 acquirers and the fastest-growing set of pre-qualified buyers in these niches.

  • Fire alarm & detection
  • Fire sprinkler & suppression
  • Watermist systems
  • Passive fire protection
  • Fire doors & stopping
  • Portable extinguishers
  • Smoke control & AOV
  • Emergency lighting
  • PAVA & voice alarm
  • Fire risk assessment
  • ITM contracts
  • Dry & wet risers
  • Cladding remediation
  • Fire & security integration
  • Alarm receiving centres

Featured at events and in publications including

International Fire & Safety JournalProfessional Security InstallerRoofing TodaySafety, Fire & Hygiene JournalThe Facilities EventInterschutz · The Fire Safety Event · The Security Event · Building and Facilities News
FS-01 · Fire & Life SafetySection 01

What happens next

Four stages. You can stop after any of them.

Owners tell us the thing that puts them off getting advice is not knowing what they are being drawn into. So here is the whole path, including the point at which it costs money and the point at which it does not commit you to anything.

01

This scorecard

Free, anonymous and yours alone. Twenty minutes with a pen gives you a directional read on readiness and the five factors capping your value. No contact with us is required at any point.

No cost · no contact
02

A confidential call

Twenty minutes. We challenge your three most generous scores, tell you which two factors are worth the most in your specific earnings band, and give you an indicative range and the acquirers most likely to want your business.

No cost · no obligation
03

Valuation and optimisation review

A detailed review built against your real financials, contracts and operating data, under a signed NDA before anything is shared. Several hours of your time across a few weeks. It is not a sell-side mandate and it does not commit you to selling, or to selling with us.

Paid engagement · no mandate
04

Implementation, if you want it

Our engineers and specialist partners work alongside your team on the plan: the operations leader who removes your key-person dependency, the systems that make your data queryable, and the contract and margin work that moves the multiple.

Optional · your pace

Why owners use a specialist

We work only in building services, facilities management and healthcare. That is why our acquirer relationships in your niche are current rather than historic, and why we can tell you what a buyer paid for a business like yours last quarter rather than what the market did last year.

Our registered network runs to 12,900 acquirers and is the fastest-growing set of pre-qualified buyers in these niches. We are venture-backed, which is what funds the research and the relationship-building behind it.

What that changes. One buyer sets the pace, anchors low and waits. Several comparable offers change the price, the structure, and how much of the money is cash at completion rather than a performance earn-out you have to work for after you have sold.

On your deal

Martin Watson

Senior Building Services & Facilities Management Advisor

Martin chairs both the Fire Industry Association and the British Security Industry Association, the only person in the UK to hold both roles at the same time. He spent over a decade in senior leadership at Mitie, latterly as Industry Liaison Director for its fire and security division, helping scale the business past £500m of revenue and playing a role in the £366m acquisition of Marlowe plc. He acts in a personal, non-partisan capacity.

Alongside a senior M&A bench, every engagement adds a sector specialist recruited from your own industry.

What buyers in this trade actually pay for

Contracted inspection and maintenance share

A book of statutory inspection and maintenance work is an annuity a buyer can underwrite. Install revenue has to be re-won every single year.

Accreditation scope and register integrity

Third-party certification gates the contracts you are allowed to hold, and a clean asset register is what makes the recurring revenue verifiable in diligence.

The process itself

Four qualified bidders held in parallel price differently from one consolidator negotiating alone. It is the only dimension you fully control in the final year.

FS-01 · Fire & Life SafetySection 02

How to use this sheet

Two businesses with the same profit routinely sell for very different money. The gap is not luck and it is not negotiation. It is thirty measurable things, most of which can be moved inside a preparation window, and several of which need a decision an owner would rather postpone. This sheet shows you which of the thirty are costing you, roughly what they are worth, and what to do first.

  1. Print it.Or work through it on screen.
  2. Score thirty boxes with a pen.Twenty minutes, honestly done.
  3. Add up six numbers.The arithmetic is division by five.

Nothing on this sheet is transmitted anywhere. There is no form, no sign-up and no data capture. Fill it in on your own machine or on paper, and it stays with you.

Score each factor 1 to 10 against the anchors, not against how you feel about the business. The anchors are the ones a buyer's diligence team applies. Where you have no evidence for a factor, score it low: buyers price an unmeasured number as though the answer were bad.

Short on time? Score only the six factors marked START HERE, one per dimension, and you will still get a usable profile. The other twenty-four are the depth behind it.

1 to 3 Bottom of band
4 to 6 Mid band, evidence patchy
7 to 8 Buyer-credible
9 to 10 Best in sector
Target 7 to 8 on most factors

How the score is calculated

  1. Add the five factor scores in each dimension. That is your dimension total out of 50, and there is a box for it at the foot of every dimension.

  2. Divide by five. That is your dimension score out of 10. Six dimensions, six numbers, and that is the whole of the manual arithmetic.

  3. Apply the weights. Multiply each dimension score by the weight opposite, add the six results together and divide by one hundred.

  4. Read the result out of 10. Below 4, prepare before going to market. 4 to 6, saleable with value uplift available. 6 to 7.5, a strong add-on with clean diligence likely. Above 7.5, platform grade.

Dimension Weight
01 Financial ×22
02 Deal Process & Buyer Access ×22
03 Customer & Revenue ×16
04 Operations ×14
05 People & Organisation ×13
06 Strategic ×13

Your earnings band sets the range you transact in. Your weighted score decides where inside that range you land: a score of 2 sits at the bottom of the band, 8 or above sits at the top, and everything between is proportionate. The band table is on the valuation page. We will run the exact figure with you on a call, because the earnings number matters as much as the score and it is not one to guess at.

FS-01 · Fire & Life SafetyDimensions 01 and 02

The scorecard · dimensions 01 and 02

01Financial22%

Are the earnings real, and will they survive an independent quality of earnings review?

F1
Revenue growth and absolute scale

1 to 3Flat or declining revenue, and turnover below roughly £3M, which limits the buyer pool to individuals and local trade. What growth there is came from one large install year.8 to 10Sustained double-digit organic growth coming from the recurring inspection and maintenance base rather than one-off installs, evidenced across three filed years.

F2
START HEREQuality of earnings and bridge integrity

1 to 3Add-backs above 20% of EBITDA with thin evidence. Recruitment claimed as a one-off while engineer churn runs high, so the same cost recurs every single year.8 to 10A conservatively drawn bridge, evidenced line by line with invoices and board minutes, that an independent quality of earnings review confirms within two to three per cent.

F3
Gross margin structure and mix

1 to 3One blended margin number. Inspection, remedial, install and monitoring profitability are not known separately, and install is still priced off a rate card set years ago.8 to 10Margin tracked and priced by line: inspection, remedial, install, monitoring and callout, each with its own recovery rate and reviewed at least annually.

F4
Working capital and cash conversion

1 to 3Debtor days drifting upward, no direct debit on the small-account tail, retentions untracked, and an overdraft that has become a fixture rather than a facility.8 to 10Debtor days under 40, direct debit as the default on maintenance, retentions diarised and chased, and a written cash policy the finance function actually applies.

F5
Forecast credibility and management information

1 to 3No monthly management accounts, consolidation done by hand in a spreadsheet, and forecasts missed often enough that nobody in the business references them.8 to 10A five-day month-end close, a rolling forecast, and three years of forecasts delivered within five per cent of outturn that a buyer can check for themselves.

Dimension total   / 50  ·  ÷5 =   / 10
02Deal Process & Buyer Access22%

How many credible, funded buyers will actually be at the table when you sell?

D1
Specialist sector representation

1 to 3The founder self-running the process, or a one-person generalist brokerage that has never completed a fire or life safety transaction and cannot name a buyer.8 to 10A mandated specialist with live deal flow in this trade and completed transactions that a buyer's corporate development team can independently verify.

D2
START HEREAccess to pre-qualified buyers

1 to 3A cold list of trade names assembled at the point of sale, with no knowledge of who is funded, what size they buy, or what they last paid for a business like yours.8 to 10Standing relationships with pre-qualified acquirers, each with current criteria on size, geography, accreditation scope and deal structure, maintained long before the mandate began.

D3
Deal-team niche expertise

1 to 3The company ends up teaching its own adviser the difference between BAFE scopes, and the adviser's questions expose that inexperience to the buyer in the first meeting.8 to 10A team that knows the standards, the consolidator playbooks and the comparable transactions well enough to challenge a buyer's valuation logic in the room.

D4
Process credibility and competitive tension

1 to 3Outreach ignored or answered slowly, one party granted exclusivity early, and no live underbidder in reserve when the price is re-traded at week eight.8 to 10Strong response rates, NDAs signed inside days, and several credible parties held in parallel through to final terms, so that any attempt to re-trade carries a real cost.

D5
Evidenced inbound buyer demand

1 to 3Approaches unlogged and unanswered. Interest is claimed in conversation but there is no dated record a buyer or an adviser could actually inspect.8 to 10Ten or more logged approaches including private equity platforms, each dated and named, with several progressed into genuine conversations.

Dimension total   / 50  ·  ÷5 =   / 10
FS-01 · Fire & Life SafetyDimensions 03 and 04

The scorecard · dimensions 03 and 04

03Customer & Revenue16%

Is the revenue an annuity, or is it re-won from zero every January?

C1
Customer concentration and contract terms

1 to 3Largest client above 15% of revenue on rolling 90-day terms, written on the client's paperwork, with change-of-control consent the buyer must go and ask for.8 to 10Top client below 5% and top five below 20%, all on the company's own terms, freely assignable, and surviving completion without any consent process.

C2
End-market diversification

1 to 3One end-market above 60% of revenue, or heavy exposure to discretionary new-build construction, which stops the moment confidence or interest rates move.8 to 10Five or more regulated, non-discretionary end-markets: care, health, education, social housing and managed commercial property, with none of them dominant.

C3
START HEREContract quality: term, notice and indexation

1 to 3Under half of contracted value is signed and dated. Indexation on less than 30% of the book, so every wage rise comes straight out of your margin.8 to 10Ninety-five per cent or more signed on standard terms, indexation above 80% of the book, and renewals worked from a 120-day pipeline rather than chased on expiry.

C4
Retention and churn

1 to 3Contracted churn above 15%, or not measured at all, which a buyer prices as though the answer were bad on the basis that you cannot disprove it.8 to 10Churn below 6%, measured with cause codes, win-back activity tracked, and referenceable clients a buyer is permitted to call during diligence.

C5
Share of wallet and cross-sell

1 to 3Cross-sell is accidental. Extinguisher-only accounts are never offered detection, emergency lighting or passive work, and engineers are not asked to spot the opportunity.8 to 10Whitespace mapped account by account, engineer-generated leads flowing into a tracked pipeline, and multi-service penetration rising quarter on quarter.

Dimension total   / 50  ·  ÷5 =   / 10
04Operations14%

Does it run without firefighting, and can an acquirer integrate it?

O1
Direct labour utilisation

1 to 3Not measured, or measured on a different definition in each division, so nobody can say what an engineer costs set against what that engineer earns.8 to 10Seventy-five per cent or better sustained, visible at engineer level, with scheduling actively managed to the number rather than reported after the month has closed.

O2
Scheduling and dispatch discipline

1 to 3Work dispatched by phone call and WhatsApp. Service level evidence reconstructed from memory and paperwork only after a client complains about a missed visit.8 to 10All work dispatched in-platform with travel logic and skills matching, and service level evidence produced on demand straight from the system.

O3
Subcontract dependency

1 to 3Over 20% of hours subcontracted, competency certificates missing for regular subcontractors, and no assurance file a diligence team could inspect.8 to 10Under 8% subcontracted, full competency and insurance files held for every subcontractor used, and the premium consciously traded against the cost of recruiting.

O4
Right-first-time and service quality

1 to 3Failed first visits above 10%, usually for want of a keyholder or an access arrangement, and certificates issued a week or more behind the engineer's visit.8 to 10Failed visits under 3%, certificates issued from site on the day of the visit, and credit notes running under half a per cent of invoiced value.

O5
START HERESystems integrity and register unification

1 to 3Three or more systems of record, including at least one legacy asset database that only one person can operate and that nobody has ever exported.8 to 10Every division on one platform with finance integrated, legacy registers migrated and archived read-only, and reports a diligence team can pull without your help.

Dimension total   / 50  ·  ÷5 =   / 10
FS-01 · Fire & Life SafetyDimensions 05 and 06

The scorecard · dimensions 05 and 06

05People & Organisation13%

What walks out of the door on the day you complete?

P1
START HEREKey-person dependency

1 to 3The founder personally holds the key client relationships, sets pricing and signs off technically. Nothing of consequence moves through the business without them.8 to 10The business demonstrably runs for months without founder involvement, with client relationships held institutionally rather than personally.

P2
Management depth

1 to 3No genuine second tier. Ten or more direct reports converge on one director, and nobody else has ever presented the business to an outside party.8 to 10A management team that presents the business itself in diligence, with named owners for operations, service delivery and finance who a buyer will meet.

P3
Workforce retention and skills pipeline

1 to 3Field churn above 20%, permanent premium-cost agency recruitment, and no apprentice pipeline, so growth is capped by hiring rather than by demand.8 to 10Churn under 10%, a certification ladder with defined pay steps, and apprentices who are productive on site rather than aspirational on paper.

P4
Knowledge documentation

1 to 3Contract quirks, route plans, panel configurations and site access arrangements held in named individuals' heads, with no export and no cover when they are away.8 to 10A maintained operations manual, so any competent hire can run any documented process without first asking the person who normally does it.

P5
Incentive alignment and equity hygiene

1 to 3Minority holders without drag-along, option promises made by email and never papered, and a shareholders agreement that nobody can currently locate.8 to 10An executed shareholders agreement with drag and tag rights, an HMRC-agreed EMI scheme where options are used, and no undocumented promises outstanding.

Dimension total   / 50  ·  ÷5 =   / 10
06Strategic13%

Is it ready to be bought, and can it grow without you?

S1
Market position and route density

1 to 3Thin, scattered coverage with engineers crossing counties for single sites, and no territory in which the business is a top-three provider.8 to 10A clear top-tier position in a defined territory, with route density and response times that a competitor entering the area could not match.

S2
Regulatory tailwind capture

1 to 3Services sold as though discretionary, with no named programme capturing the statutory calendar that is already running through your own client base.8 to 10Core revenue mandated by regulation, with named programmes capturing the current cycle: BS 5839-1:2025 remedials, Martyn's Law duties and the PSTN switch-off.

S3
Accreditation moat

1 to 3Minimum accreditations only, renewal dates at risk, and nothing in the scope that a competitor down the road does not also hold.8 to 10Full third-party certification scope actively maintained and audited, plus at least one scarce capability such as suppression, riser or passive fire work.

S4
Organic growth engine

1 to 3Growth arrives from founder relationships and inbound luck. No campaign runs against a target list, no conversion is tracked, and capacity is planned reactively.8 to 10Whitespace mapped, campaigns running against it, conversion tracked by source, and engineer capacity planned against the pipeline rather than against last year.

S5
START HEREExit readiness and transactability

1 to 3No data room, key contracts non-assignable, and a process that stalls in week two while somebody hunts for the lease, the insurance schedule and the asset register.8 to 10A maintained evidence room answering first-round diligence the same day: contracts, accreditations, registers, accounts, HR files and property.

Dimension total   / 50  ·  ÷5 =   / 10
FS-01 · Fire & Life SafetyYour profile, score and value

Your profile, your score, and what it is worth

Step one · turn six dimension scores into one weighted score

Each dimension on the scorecard totals out of 50. Divide by five for a score out of ten, write it in, multiply by the weight, and add the six results. The weights total 100, so the points column totals out of 1,000 and dividing by 100 returns a score out of ten.

Dimension Your score Weight Points
01  Financial  / 10 × 22  
02  Deal Process & Buyer Access  / 10 × 22  
03  Customer & Revenue  / 10 × 16  
04  Operations  / 10 × 14  
05  People & Organisation  / 10 × 13  
06  Strategic  / 10 × 13  
Add the six results together   / 1,000
Divide by 100. That is your weighted exit readiness score.   / 10

Your six numbers are the whole job. We will do the rest.

Enter these six dimension scores at dealflowagent.com/scorecard, photograph this page and send it to us on WhatsApp at +44 20 7293 0327, or bring the completed sheet to a call. You get the weighted total checked, where it places you inside your band, the five factors capping your value and what closing them is worth.

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FS-01 · Fire & Life SafetySection four

Where that score places you

Step two · shade each bar and read the shape

01 Financial · 22%
 
02 Deal Process & Buyer Access · 22%
 
03 Customer & Revenue · 16%
 
04 Operations · 14%
 
05 People & Organisation · 13%
 
06 Strategic · 13%
 
1357910

What the score is worth

Your earnings band sets the range. Your score decides where inside that range you transact. Select your defended earnings, meaning the adjusted figure that would survive an independent quality of earnings review, not the figure you would like to claim.

On paper we cannot rank these for you. Enter your six dimension scores at dealflowagent.com/scorecard, photograph this page and send it to us on WhatsApp, or bring the sheet to a call. You will get the five factors capping your value, ranked by what each one is worth, and the specific target for each.

Indicative enterprise value at your score
Select a band
 

Score the sheet and select your band to see the distance between where you would transact today and the top of that band.
Defended EBITDA Range
Under £250K (priced on SDE) 2.0x to 3.5x Individual buyers and local trade
£250K to £500K 3.5x to 5.5x Trade buyers, first consolidator bolt-ons
£500K to £1M 4.5x to 7.0x Consolidator bolt-ons, regional trade, search funds
£1M to £2M 5.5x to 7.0x PE bolt-ons, platform seed deals, trade
£2M to £3M 6.0x to 8.0x Platform bolt-ons, PE platform entries
£3M to £5M 7.0x to 9.0x PE platforms and strategics, platform grade
£5M to £10M 8.0x to 11.0x Large PE, listed groups, US buyers
£10M and above 10.0x to 14.0x Institutional buyers and listed groups

Ranges are the DealFlowAgent tier view for UK fire and life safety, calibrated against verified 2025 and 2026 transactions and the sources set out in full in the fire safety valuation guide at dealflowagent.com/valuation/fire-safety-multiples. The lower bound of each band describes an unprepared, install-weighted business sold without competition. The upper bound describes a prepared, professionally represented one with a strong contracted inspection and maintenance base.

The five items capping your value

Ranked by weighted impact, meaning the gap to a buyer-credible 7.5 multiplied by that dimension's weight, spread so that no single dimension dominates the list. Fix these five in order and the rest of the sheet moves with them.

    Score at least one dimension above to rank what is holding your multiple down.

    Where your score places you in the range. The bottom of a band describes an unprepared business shown to one buyer. The top describes a prepared one in a competed process. A score of 2 sits at the bottom, 8 or above sits at the top, and everything between is proportionate. Worked through on £1M of defended earnings in the 4.5x to 6.5x band: a score of 3.7 lands near 5.1x, roughly £5.1M. A score of 7.5 lands near 6.3x, roughly £6.3M. Same earnings, £1.2M apart.

    FS-01 · Fire & Life SafetyFirst moves and next steps

    What to do about it

    If a dimension scored below five, start here

    Three first moves per dimension, in the order that pays. None of them require a transaction, an adviser or a budget round, and all of them are visible to a buyer inside one financial year.

    These are deliberately generic, because this sheet knows nothing about your business beyond what you have just scored. The valuation and optimisation review does the opposite. We build the financial model with you, find and clean the data behind it, and hand over working tools rather than a document: an operating model your finance function can run, dashboards that put contract, margin and utilisation data in one place, and custom AI workspaces so your team can question your own numbers directly. The point is not a longer report. It is a shorter distance between knowing what to fix and having fixed it.

    01 Financial22%
    1. Rebuild three years of gross margin on one definition, split by inspection, remedial, install and monitoring, before a buyer's accountants do it for you.
    2. Put the small-account tail on direct debit and diarise every retention. This moves cash without touching a single price.
    3. Draw the EBITDA bridge conservatively and evidence every add-back with a document rather than an explanation.
    02 Deal Process & Buyer Access22%
    1. Log every approach you have ever had, with date, name and what was said. That log is evidence of demand and it prices.
    2. Never answer an unsolicited approach with a number. A single-bidder conversation settles at the bottom of your band by definition.
    3. Appoint on sector record and buyer relationships, not on fee. The cheapest adviser is the one who brings four funded bidders.
    03 Customer & Revenue16%
    1. Get every contracted pound signed and dated on current terms. An unsigned rollover is treated in diligence as no contract at all.
    2. Put indexation into every renewal from today. It compounds directly into the earnings a buyer capitalises.
    3. Measure churn with cause codes for twelve months. An unmeasured churn number is priced as though it were a bad one.
    04 Operations14%
    1. Move every division onto one system of record and archive the legacy asset databases read-only.
    2. Measure engineer utilisation on a single definition and manage the schedule to it rather than reporting it after the fact.
    3. Issue certificates from site on the day of the visit. It is the cheapest quality signal you own.
    05 People & Organisation13%
    1. Name a second tier and put them in front of clients now, so they can present the business themselves in diligence later.
    2. Write down the contract quirks, route plans and panel configurations that currently live in one person's head.
    3. Paper every equity and option promise properly, and get drag-along in place before a process starts rather than during one.
    06 Strategic13%
    1. Build a named capture programme for the statutory cycle already running through your book: BS 5839-1:2025 remedials, Martyn's Law and PSTN migration.
    2. Maintain full third-party certification scope and add one capability your local competitors cannot offer.
    3. Assemble the evidence room before you need it: contracts, accreditations, asset registers, accounts, HR files and property.

    Two illustrations. Neither is a calculation of your business.

    Both are constructed examples using our published ranges, included to show how far the same earnings can travel depending on preparation and process. Your own figure comes from your own earnings and your own score, and we work it out with you on a call.

    Business A · scored 3.8

    62% of revenue is project and install work. Largest client at 18% on a rolling purchase order. Indexation on a quarter of the book. Dispatch runs through the operations manager's phone. The founder personally holds the top ten relationships. One consolidator at the table.

    £3.4M£750K defended EBITDA at 4.5x

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    Business B · scored 7.4

    55% contracted inspection and maintenance revenue, indexed across 80% of the book, churn measured at 6%. One scheduling platform holding every asset register. A second tier that ran the business through a two-month founder absence. Four qualified bidders held in parallel.

    £4.5M£750K defended EBITDA at 6.0x

    undefined

    DealFlowAgent

    Book a 20-minute review of this sheet

    Bring the completed sheet. Twenty minutes, confidential, no obligation, and nothing leaves the call.

    • We challenge your three most generous scores and tell you which two factors are worth the most in your specific earnings band.
    • You leave with an indicative range, the acquirers most likely to want your business, and what a 90-day preparation window would realistically move.
    • If it is not the right time, we say so. Most owners we speak to are one to three years out.
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